한국 출산율은 아마 2~3년내로 반드시 반등하게 됩니다
이렇게 적으면 뭐 결혼 많이하고 ㅍㅍㅅㅅ 해서 애낳아서 회복하는거 같지??
아님
출산율은 현재 15세~49세가 기준이다.
근데 최근에 노산 이야기 본 사람은 알겠지만 40세 이후의 출산은 원래도 적음
문제는 뭐냐면 현재 한국에서 가장 많은 인구수를 차지하는 베이비붐 세대의 끝물이
아직 출산율 집계에 들어감. 대충 한 1970년대 초반 여성들이 들어감
즉 이 여성분들은 숫자는 다른 연령대에 비해서 적지 않게 많은데
아이 낳을일은 별로 없는 그런 연령대임 즉 출산율 지표를 깎아먹는 요인중 하나라는거
근데 이 베이비붐세대로 정의되는 분들은 대충 한 2025년쯤이면 대부분 다 출산율 집계에 안잡힘
그 말인즉슨 어차피 애도 안낳을 연령대면서 숫자는 많던 양반들이 빠져나간단 소리임
이게 무슨 말인지 일본 출산율 통계로 보자
여기서 비교해볼 부분은 저 통계에서 가장 최저 출산율인 2005년의 1.26명하고
이후에 출산율 반등해서 가장 고점이었던 2015년의 1.45명이다
년도 바로 옆에 붙은 두번째 숫자가 바로 일본국내 신생아 숫자인데
출산율 1.26때 106만명이고 출산율 1.45일때 100만명임
분명히 출산율은 올랐는데 신생아 숫자는 작살난거임
저게 일본의 쪽수 많던 단카이세대의 거의 끝의 끝물 정도가 아마 2005년을 기점으로 집계에 안잡혔을거
그때부터 보면 출산율 반등은 일어나는데 신생아 숫자는 점점 작살이 나가고 있음
그 이후보면 출산율은 오르내리락 해도 신생아는 꾸준히 작살나감
한국 기준으로 보면 이제 베이비붐 세대가 다 은퇴하면 통계상으로는 저런 현상이 나타날꺼임
아마 0.9에서 1.0까진 복귀하지 않을까 싶음. 출산율 자체는 그렇게 좀 회복세를 보이겠지
근데 내가 볼때 총 신생아 숫자는 답 없음.
아마 조만간 몇몇 정치인들이 출산율 반등했다고 신나서 떠들고 자기 인생 업적인양 떠느는 사람 백프로 나옴
나중에 출산율 올라간다고 뭐 상태가 좋아지는건 절대 아님 ㅅㅍ
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럭키 65 포인트!
[is_secret] => [date] => 1668163974 [datetime] => 22-11-11 19:52 [best] => [ip] => 125.♡.219.77 [is_reply] => [is_edit] => [is_del] => ) [3] => Array ( [wr_id] => 502633 [wr_num] => -145043 [wr_reply] => [wr_parent] => 492518 [wr_is_comment] => 1 [wr_comment] => 4 [wr_comment_reply] => [ca_name] => [wr_option] => [wr_subject] => [wr_content] => 혼자 살기도 개 엿같은데 미쳤다고 애 낳아서 고생하냐? 이 거지같은 정치인들이 득세하는 나라에서는 이미 미래는 없음 [wr_link1] => [wr_link2] => [wr_link1_hit] => 0 [wr_link2_hit] => 0 [wr_hit] => 0 [wr_good] => 2 [wr_nogood] => 0 [mb_id] => naver_92ad08b2 [wr_password] => *6C60090422CAA329E46374A63F30BFAA021441EB [wr_name] => 카카로트 [wr_email] => [wr_homepage] => [wr_datetime] => 2022-11-08 22:17:58 [wr_file] => 0 [wr_last] => [wr_ip] => 211.36.149.4 [wr_facebook_user] => [wr_twitter_user] => [articleid] => [wr_1] => [wr_2] => [wr_3] => [wr_4] => [wr_5] => [wr_6] => [wr_7] => [wr_8] => [wr_9] => [wr_10] => [as_type] => 0 [as_shingo] => 0 [as_img] => 0 [as_list] => 0 [as_publish] => 0 [as_extra] => 0 [as_extend] => 0 [as_level] => 56 [as_download] => 0 [as_down] => 0 [as_view] => 0 [as_lucky] => 0 [as_poll] => 0 [as_star_score] => 0 [as_choice] => 0 [as_choice_cnt] => 0 [as_re_mb] => [as_re_name] => [as_tag] => [as_map] => [as_icon] => [as_thumb] => [as_video] => [as_update] => [as_star_cnt] => 1 [ast_read] => 0 [ast_adlist_edate] => 0 [ast_adtop_edate] => 0 [ast_extend] => [ast_ultra_extend] => [wr_besttime] => 2022-11-11 22:09:37.527129 [name] =>
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럭키 65 포인트!
[is_secret] => [date] => 1668163974 [datetime] => 22-11-11 19:52 [best] => [ip] => 125.♡.219.77 [is_reply] => [is_edit] => [is_del] => ) [3] => Array ( [wr_id] => 502633 [wr_num] => -145043 [wr_reply] => [wr_parent] => 492518 [wr_is_comment] => 1 [wr_comment] => 4 [wr_comment_reply] => [ca_name] => [wr_option] => [wr_subject] => [wr_content] => 혼자 살기도 개 엿같은데 미쳤다고 애 낳아서 고생하냐? 이 거지같은 정치인들이 득세하는 나라에서는 이미 미래는 없음 [wr_link1] => [wr_link2] => [wr_link1_hit] => 0 [wr_link2_hit] => 0 [wr_hit] => 0 [wr_good] => 2 [wr_nogood] => 0 [mb_id] => naver_92ad08b2 [wr_password] => *6C60090422CAA329E46374A63F30BFAA021441EB [wr_name] => 카카로트 [wr_email] => [wr_homepage] => [wr_datetime] => 2022-11-08 22:17:58 [wr_file] => 0 [wr_last] => [wr_ip] => 211.36.149.4 [wr_facebook_user] => [wr_twitter_user] => [articleid] => [wr_1] => [wr_2] => [wr_3] => [wr_4] => [wr_5] => [wr_6] => [wr_7] => [wr_8] => [wr_9] => [wr_10] => [as_type] => 0 [as_shingo] => 0 [as_img] => 0 [as_list] => 0 [as_publish] => 0 [as_extra] => 0 [as_extend] => 0 [as_level] => 56 [as_download] => 0 [as_down] => 0 [as_view] => 0 [as_lucky] => 0 [as_poll] => 0 [as_star_score] => 0 [as_choice] => 0 [as_choice_cnt] => 0 [as_re_mb] => [as_re_name] => [as_tag] => [as_map] => [as_icon] => [as_thumb] => [as_video] => [as_update] => [as_star_cnt] => 1 [ast_read] => 0 [ast_adlist_edate] => 0 [ast_adtop_edate] => 0 [ast_extend] => [ast_ultra_extend] => [wr_besttime] => 2022-11-11 22:09:37.527129 [name] =>
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럭키 65 포인트!
[is_secret] => [date] => 1668163974 [datetime] => 22-11-11 19:52 [best] => [ip] => 125.♡.219.77 [is_reply] => [is_edit] => [is_del] => ) [3] => Array ( [wr_id] => 502633 [wr_num] => -145043 [wr_reply] => [wr_parent] => 492518 [wr_is_comment] => 1 [wr_comment] => 4 [wr_comment_reply] => [ca_name] => [wr_option] => [wr_subject] => [wr_content] => 혼자 살기도 개 엿같은데 미쳤다고 애 낳아서 고생하냐? 이 거지같은 정치인들이 득세하는 나라에서는 이미 미래는 없음 [wr_link1] => [wr_link2] => [wr_link1_hit] => 0 [wr_link2_hit] => 0 [wr_hit] => 0 [wr_good] => 2 [wr_nogood] => 0 [mb_id] => naver_92ad08b2 [wr_password] => *6C60090422CAA329E46374A63F30BFAA021441EB [wr_name] => 카카로트 [wr_email] => [wr_homepage] => [wr_datetime] => 2022-11-08 22:17:58 [wr_file] => 0 [wr_last] => [wr_ip] => 211.36.149.4 [wr_facebook_user] => [wr_twitter_user] => [articleid] => [wr_1] => [wr_2] => [wr_3] => [wr_4] => [wr_5] => [wr_6] => [wr_7] => [wr_8] => [wr_9] => [wr_10] => [as_type] => 0 [as_shingo] => 0 [as_img] => 0 [as_list] => 0 [as_publish] => 0 [as_extra] => 0 [as_extend] => 0 [as_level] => 56 [as_download] => 0 [as_down] => 0 [as_view] => 0 [as_lucky] => 0 [as_poll] => 0 [as_star_score] => 0 [as_choice] => 0 [as_choice_cnt] => 0 [as_re_mb] => [as_re_name] => [as_tag] => [as_map] => [as_icon] => [as_thumb] => [as_video] => [as_update] => [as_star_cnt] => 1 [ast_read] => 0 [ast_adlist_edate] => 0 [ast_adtop_edate] => 0 [ast_extend] => [ast_ultra_extend] => [wr_besttime] => 2022-11-11 22:09:37.527129 [name] =>
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럭키 65 포인트!
[is_secret] => [date] => 1668163974 [datetime] => 22-11-11 19:52 [best] => [ip] => 125.♡.219.77 [is_reply] => [is_edit] => [is_del] => ) [3] => Array ( [wr_id] => 502633 [wr_num] => -145043 [wr_reply] => [wr_parent] => 492518 [wr_is_comment] => 1 [wr_comment] => 4 [wr_comment_reply] => [ca_name] => [wr_option] => [wr_subject] => [wr_content] => 혼자 살기도 개 엿같은데 미쳤다고 애 낳아서 고생하냐? 이 거지같은 정치인들이 득세하는 나라에서는 이미 미래는 없음 [wr_link1] => [wr_link2] => [wr_link1_hit] => 0 [wr_link2_hit] => 0 [wr_hit] => 0 [wr_good] => 2 [wr_nogood] => 0 [mb_id] => naver_92ad08b2 [wr_password] => *6C60090422CAA329E46374A63F30BFAA021441EB [wr_name] => 카카로트 [wr_email] => [wr_homepage] => [wr_datetime] => 2022-11-08 22:17:58 [wr_file] => 0 [wr_last] => [wr_ip] => 211.36.149.4 [wr_facebook_user] => [wr_twitter_user] => [articleid] => [wr_1] => [wr_2] => [wr_3] => [wr_4] => [wr_5] => [wr_6] => [wr_7] => [wr_8] => [wr_9] => [wr_10] => [as_type] => 0 [as_shingo] => 0 [as_img] => 0 [as_list] => 0 [as_publish] => 0 [as_extra] => 0 [as_extend] => 0 [as_level] => 56 [as_download] => 0 [as_down] => 0 [as_view] => 0 [as_lucky] => 0 [as_poll] => 0 [as_star_score] => 0 [as_choice] => 0 [as_choice_cnt] => 0 [as_re_mb] => [as_re_name] => [as_tag] => [as_map] => [as_icon] => [as_thumb] => [as_video] => [as_update] => [as_star_cnt] => 1 [ast_read] => 0 [ast_adlist_edate] => 0 [ast_adtop_edate] => 0 [ast_extend] => [ast_ultra_extend] => [wr_besttime] => 2022-11-11 22:09:37.527129 [name] =>
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럭키 65 포인트!
[is_secret] => [date] => 1668163974 [datetime] => 22-11-11 19:52 [best] => [ip] => 125.♡.219.77 [is_reply] => [is_edit] => [is_del] => ) [3] => Array ( [wr_id] => 502633 [wr_num] => -145043 [wr_reply] => [wr_parent] => 492518 [wr_is_comment] => 1 [wr_comment] => 4 [wr_comment_reply] => [ca_name] => [wr_option] => [wr_subject] => [wr_content] => 혼자 살기도 개 엿같은데 미쳤다고 애 낳아서 고생하냐? 이 거지같은 정치인들이 득세하는 나라에서는 이미 미래는 없음 [wr_link1] => [wr_link2] => [wr_link1_hit] => 0 [wr_link2_hit] => 0 [wr_hit] => 0 [wr_good] => 2 [wr_nogood] => 0 [mb_id] => naver_92ad08b2 [wr_password] => *6C60090422CAA329E46374A63F30BFAA021441EB [wr_name] => 카카로트 [wr_email] => [wr_homepage] => [wr_datetime] => 2022-11-08 22:17:58 [wr_file] => 0 [wr_last] => [wr_ip] => 211.36.149.4 [wr_facebook_user] => [wr_twitter_user] => [articleid] => [wr_1] => [wr_2] => [wr_3] => [wr_4] => [wr_5] => [wr_6] => [wr_7] => [wr_8] => [wr_9] => [wr_10] => [as_type] => 0 [as_shingo] => 0 [as_img] => 0 [as_list] => 0 [as_publish] => 0 [as_extra] => 0 [as_extend] => 0 [as_level] => 56 [as_download] => 0 [as_down] => 0 [as_view] => 0 [as_lucky] => 0 [as_poll] => 0 [as_star_score] => 0 [as_choice] => 0 [as_choice_cnt] => 0 [as_re_mb] => [as_re_name] => [as_tag] => [as_map] => [as_icon] => [as_thumb] => [as_video] => [as_update] => [as_star_cnt] => 1 [ast_read] => 0 [ast_adlist_edate] => 0 [ast_adtop_edate] => 0 [ast_extend] => [ast_ultra_extend] => [wr_besttime] => 2022-11-11 22:09:37.527129 [name] =>
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럭키 65 포인트!
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럭키 65 포인트!
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